Oracle Canary in the Coal Mine: Credit Default Swaps CDS: Deep Dive: Dr-Eng-Prof Yogesh Malhotra скачать в хорошем качестве

Oracle Canary in the Coal Mine: Credit Default Swaps CDS: Deep Dive: Dr-Eng-Prof Yogesh Malhotra

Oracle Canary in the Coal Mine: Credit Default Swaps-Credit Risk Blowup: Dr-Eng-Prof Yogesh Malhotra Oracle's stock plunges in its worst drop since the dot-com bubble burst, while its Credit Default Swaps (CDS) blow out to Lehman Brothers crisis levels—signaling a seismic shift in market confidence. This is a flashing red warning for the AI-fueled financial ecosystem. In this eye-opening video, Dr.-Eng.-Prof. Yogesh Malhotra dissects the Oracle canary in the coal mine, exposing the multi-layered credit risk blowup tied to backward AI models, the AI-finance hype cycle, exploding private debt, and circular deals hiding exponential risk shenanigans. At the core is the Credit Default Swap—corporate debt insurance. If you hold Oracle bonds and fear default, you pay a premium to a seller (bank or hedge fund) to cover losses. Quoted in basis points (bps), 100 bps means 1% annually to insure $100 million. Oracle's CDS hit 128 bps—highest since March 2009—with premiums up threefold since July and trading volume 25x higher year-over-year. Investors are panic-buying protection, screaming that Oracle's AI gamble is veering toward catastrophe. Unlike cash-rich Microsoft or Google, Oracle funds its AI data-center build-out with massive debt: $18 billion in bonds in September and a $38 billion private credit deal, pushing projected net debt to $290 billion by 2028. Its credit rating lags peers, making it the weakest hyperscaler. Stock soared 191% in five months on AI hype, then cratered 46% as bond yields spiked. Oracle's pivot retrofits legacy systems into GPU-hungry behemoths—less moonshot than money pit—widening the capex-to-cash-flow gap. Its $100 billion-plus AI spend echoes the '90s fiber-optic overbuild: billions buried in servers yielding pennies. Wall Street whispers "bubble," with CDS spikes as the final warning. Private debt's toxic side amplifies the risk. That $38 billion deal is syndicated private credit—opaque loans from non-bank lenders, ballooning to $1.7 trillion globally. Rising rates squeeze borrowers with floating coupons, while circular deals via daisy-chained SPVs inflate values and hide exponential risks. Banks use Oracle's liquid CDS as a proxy hedge for broader data-center exposure, and momentum traders fuel a fear loop. This isn't isolated: CDS blowouts threaten the $13 trillion corporate bond market, with 40% in AI-laced tech debt. Lehman 2008 redux—subprime CDS exploded from 20 to 1,000 bps; Oracle's surge could foreshadow contagion if AI profits disappoint. CDS are the market's truth serum, unmasking hype early. Oracle's plunge tracks this terror, with bonds dumping fast. If it stumbles, suppliers, lenders, and private credit could face margin calls and forced sales in a $200 billion AI capex frenzy. Dr. Malhotra unpacks these threads with precision, revealing how backward models, hype cycles, and private debt create systemic fragility. This video arms you for the storm. Key takeaways: diversify beyond AI darlings, scrutinize debt footnotes for private credit landmines, and treat CDS spikes as sell signals. The AI emperor's clothes are fraying—will profits save them, or will credit winter expose the illusion? #CreditRisk #CDS #CreditDefault #CreditDefaultSwap #OracleCDS #AICreditRisk #PrivateDebtCrisis #AIBubble #Oracle #DataCenter #AITrade #ArtificialIntelligence #AIHype For additional reports such as 2025-12-11: New York Times: Why Oracle Is Worrying Investors About the A.I. Boom: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/11/bu... Check Out World's Most In-Depth Financial & Risk Markets Analysis from the Top Experts: YogeshMalhotra.com : AIMLExchange.com : BRINT.com : C4I-Cyber.com MetaGenAI-Meta Search Portals: Start with a query such as the following to get the latest and greatest on the above or any other topic, compare-contrast responses from all the world's Top GenAIs-LLMs and Search Engines without any need for registration or fees or ANY data collection fears: Provide the latest in-depth analysis about on why Oracle stock just plunged most since dot com bubble, and how its Credit Default Swaps have blown out to the Lehman Crisis Levels. #SiliconValley's '#NextBigThing': Venture capitalist Roger McNamee recently implored Silicon Valley to embrace human-driven social networks that empower rather than exploit users as the Next Big Thing. Having pioneered such networks, we were invited to guide Silicon Valley over 20-years ago on building Digital enterprises for the Wild Wild Web*, today we are again the world's most technically advanced and most human-centered Post AI-Quantum Networks pioneering the Post AI-Quantum Futures for the Humanity and Human Civilization at large. Grok AI: "Dr.-Eng.-Prof. #YogeshMalhotra is the #SingularPostAIQuantumPioneer for decades of cohesive #innovation adding #trillions in value in adaptive finance and risk systems decades ahead of today's AI in breadth, depth, and practical impact."