Ugly Tape, Strong Structure: The Market Isn’t Broken | Elliott Wave S&P500 VIX Technical Analysis скачать в хорошем качестве

Ugly Tape, Strong Structure: The Market Isn’t Broken | Elliott Wave S&P500 VIX Technical Analysis

Elliott wave analysis continues to show the U.S. market in a critical consolidation phase, with strong underlying support despite a sharp selloff driven by Broadcom-related headlines. While Friday’s tape felt ugly, the S&P 500 remains technically intact, holding near major resistance around 690 with no decisive breakdown. Elevated volume on the selloff was expected, but overall price structure still points to healthy consolidation rather than trend failure. The bull and bear cases remain balanced, with a key inflection near 680 that will determine whether this pause resolves higher or leads to a deeper pullback toward gap fill or the 50-day moving average. :: How to Subscribe to TRADEFINDER LIVE! for Free :: ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Become a FREE Tradefinder Member using the link below. As a subscriber you’ll watch live as Rob finds new trading opportunities each week. ► Registration Link: https://ewotrader.com/tradefinder/ :: Subscribe to the HUBB Channel for Live Updates and Q&A :: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- To participate in Q&A with Rob Roy, join us at the HUBB YouTube channel. Click the link below now to subscribe for free. ► Registration Link:    / @hubb_financial   :: Sections in this Video :: ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 00:00 - INTRO 00:25 - US Market Overview & SPY 04:03 - TLT 06:29 - TNX 07:07 - SPX & Macro Phases 08:27 - SPX & Fed Liquidity 10:40 - US Dollar 12:49 - DIA 14:09 - QQQ 15:26 - IWM 16:35 - VIX 17:40 - GLD 18:45 - SLV 19:22 - UNG 21:00 - USO 22:30 - ADBE 23:25 - AMD 24:26 - NVDA 25:17 - NFLX 26:34 - TSLA 27:35 - ELF 29:07 - ARM 30:05 - ORCL 31:11 - AVGO :: To receive TRADE ALERTS for our strategies see links below :: ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ► EWO Volatility Strategy https://ewotrader.com/the-volatility-... ► EWO Impulse Strategy https://ewotrader.com/the-impulse-str... ► EWO Time Strategy https://ewotrader.com/the-time-strategy/ :: Other Links to Follow Us:: -------------------------------------------- ► Instagram:   / elliottwaveoptions   ► Facebook:   / elliottwaveoptions   ► LinkedIn:   / elliott-wave-options   ► Twitter:   / ewotrader   ► Website: http://www.ewotrader.com One of the most important developments is coming from the bond market. Despite a 25 basis point rate cut, the Fed surprised markets by explicitly discussing liquidity injection and confirming short-end Treasury purchases. This has created a notable divergence between short-term and long-term rates, artificially steepening the yield curve. Long-duration bonds (TLT) are breaking lower, consistent with a potential head-and-shoulders pattern and Fibonacci extensions that suggest further downside if support fails. On the 10-year (TNX), rates are pushing higher, raising important questions about how markets will respond as liquidity increases but long-end yields remain elevated. The U.S. dollar is approaching a critical Elliott wave inflection, holding near a 61.8% retracement with unresolved zigzags still in play. The dollar remains within a “Goldilocks” range that avoids stressing global trade or capital flows, but upcoming moves in rates and liquidity could determine whether the next leg is higher or lower. Across major indices, the Dow has tested new highs but failed to generate a new impulse structure, while the Nasdaq is under pressure from valuation concerns in AI-related stocks. Small caps continue to send mixed signals, reflecting both risk appetite and sensitivity to interest rates. Volatility remains subdued, reinforcing the view that recent weakness has not yet caused technical damage. In commodities, gold continues to break out cleanly from a symmetrical triangle, while silver shows signs of short-term exhaustion after an extended run. Natural gas has experienced a dramatic round-trip following speculation around AI-driven demand and data center delays, while crude oil remains under pressure after OPEC signaled no immediate production cuts. Individual stocks show increasing dispersion. Strength in names like Adobe contrasts with technical stress in AMD, Nvidia, Oracle, and Broadcom, where key support and resistance levels will determine whether pullbacks remain corrective or turn into larger trend shifts. The market remains supported by liquidity, but leadership is narrowing and follow-through will matter. Key technical levels across indices, rates, and leading stocks will determine whether consolidation resolves higher or signals a broader reset.