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Markets Today: Geneva hosts dual high-stakes talks on Russia–Ukraine and US–Iran, putting the oil risk premium and broader risk sentiment in focus. Meanwhile Japan’s Q4 GDP badly misses expectations, pushing BOJ hike odds out and keeping USD/JPY sensitive to fiscal vs. debt concerns. Finally, RBA minutes confirm a unanimous hike and upgraded inflation forecasts, reinforcing the global policy divergence theme. In this Daily Market Briefing, we cover today’s top 3 market stories and the key transmission mechanisms moving price action across FX, rates, equities, and commodities. 📰 Today’s Top 3 Stories 1. Geneva dual talks: Russia–Ukraine + US–Iran — oil binary risk, EUR and safe havens 2. Japan GDP miss — BOJ hike pushed out, JGB curve steepening, yen pressure 3. RBA hawkish minutes — inflation forecast upgrade, AUD strength, divergence narrative 🔖 Chapters 00:00 Today’s key headlines 00:42 A short introduction 00:52 Disclaimer 01:02 Geneva talks: Ukraine + Iran (oil, risk sentiment, safe havens) 03:38 Japan Q4 GDP shock (JPY, JGBs, BOJ expectations) 06:18 RBA minutes: hike confirmed (AUD, global divergence) 08:55 Global Market Snapshot 09:38 Forward Calendar ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational content only. This is not financial advice. #Markets #Oil #Japan #RBA #Geopolitics