Change Will Come From Within Iran, Not Through Foreign Intervention, Says NCRI's Ali Safavi скачать в хорошем качестве

Change Will Come From Within Iran, Not Through Foreign Intervention, Says NCRI's Ali Safavi

Ali Safavi, President of Near East Policy Research and Member of the National Council of Resistance of Iran, discusses expectations for a transition of power in Iran. The US-Israeli war on Iran reverberated across the region for a fourth day, with oil and gas prices surging and the world adjusting to a conflict that President Donald Trump says has no fixed timeline. Iran sent a fresh wave of missiles at countries including Qatar, Bahrain and Oman that host US bases, with Doha saying targets weren’t limited to military interests and included the main airport.  Israel said it struck the leadership compound in Tehran in an ongoing bombardment of the capital of the Islamic Republic and sent soldiers into southern Lebanon, where the Iran-aligned Hezbollah militia is based.   Two drones struck near the US embassy in Riyadh overnight, causing limited damage. An adviser to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commander told state TV that forces “will set fire to any ship attempting to pass through” the Strait of Hormuz — a vital shipping lane. China, which buys most of Iran’s oil, urged “all sides” to ensure the safe passage of ships through the waterway, where traffic has effectively halted. The United Arab Emirates and Qatar are privately lobbying allies to help them persuade Trump to reach for an off-ramp that would keep the conflict short, according to people familiar with the matter. Global benchmark Brent spiked to $85 a barrel for the first time since July 2024, after rising about 7% on Monday. European gas prices surged as much as 32% on Tuesday morning.  QatarEnergy halted the production of some chemicals and metal after Iranian attacks forced the shutdown of its major liquefied natural gas plant. Falling debris from an intercepted drone caused a major fire at the UAE oil-trading hub of Fujairah. President Donald Trump expressed concern that the strikes against Iran could lead to a new leadership that’s equally troubling to Washington as the regime the US and Israel are fighting to topple.  Trump’s comments are likely to spur concerns on the administration’s endgame with the conflict well into its fourth day and retaliatory actions from Iran against Saudi Arabia exacerbating fears of further escalation across the region. “I guess the worst case would be, we do this, and then somebody takes over, who’s as bad as the previous person, right? That could happen,” Trump told reporters Tuesday in the Oval Office. “You go through this, and then in five years, you realize you put somebody in who is no better.”  The US president, who was speaking alongside German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, reiterated that he’d like to see a more moderate leader emerge in Iran, but that his top candidates were killed amid strikes and a second group of officials “may be dead also,” based on reports. “So I guess you have a third wave coming in pretty soon,” he added In a social media post earlier Tuesday he said “wars can be fought ‘forever’” and said the US had an unlimited supply of the nuclear weapons and long-range missiles the US wanted to prevent Iran from obtaining. Earlier, he claimed Iran’s “air defense, Air Force, Navy, and Leadership is gone.”   Trump maintained that oil and gas prices would return to a steady state even though he’s been unclear about how long the military operations could last.  “If we have a little high oil prices for a little while — but as soon as this ends, those prices are going to drop, I believe, lower than ever before,” Trump told reporters. Oil prices surged again on Tuesday with Brent crude trading as high as $85 a barrel during the session, the highest since July 2024. Both US oil and global Brent benchmarks were trading more than 6% above Monday’s close by 12:45 p.m. in New York. The Strait of Hormuz — a vital shipping lane for tankers — remains all but shut. Israel bombarded Tehran with a fresh wave of strikes on Tuesday, and hit a building in the city of Qom where Iranian clerics were meeting to elect a successor to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Israel’s Kan News reported. -------- Watch Bloomberg Radio LIVE on YouTube Weekdays 7am-6pm ET WATCH HERE: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF Follow us on X:   / bloombergradio   Subscribe to our Podcasts: Bloomberg Daybreak: http://bit.ly/3DWYoAN Bloomberg Surveillance: http://bit.ly/3OPtReI Bloomberg Intelligence: http://bit.ly/3YrBfOi Balance of Power: http://bit.ly/3OO8eLC Bloomberg Businessweek: http://bit.ly/3IPl60i Listen on Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app: Apple CarPlay: https://apple.co/486mghI Android Auto: https://bit.ly/49benZy Visit our YouTube channels: Bloomberg Podcasts:    / bloombergpodcasts   Bloomberg Television:    / @markets   Bloomberg Originals:    / bloomberg   Quicktake:    / @bloombergquicktake