GDX Explained: Seasonality, Macro Forces, and Early-Year Performance of Gold Miners скачать в хорошем качестве

GDX Explained: Seasonality, Macro Forces, and Early-Year Performance of Gold Miners

Gold miners often show their strongest performance early in the year—but why does this happen, and does the pattern still hold today? In this video, we explain the long-term seasonality of gold miners using GDX, highlighting a clear early-year window where performance has historically been strongest over the past two decades. Key insights covered include: 🔹A 79% historical win rate for GDX between late December and early April 🔹An average return above 10% during this early-year seasonal window 🔹Evidence that gold miners tend to lead early in market cycles, not late 🔹Why gold price stability, not a breakout, has often been enough to support miners 🔹How drawdowns of 8–14% can still occur even in historically profitable years We also place this seasonal pattern into a broader macro context, including rate expectations, real yields, central bank behavior, and geopolitical risk. Combined with technical structure and historical drawdowns, the data suggest gold miners have historically aligned more with early-cycle positioning than late-cycle momentum trades. 👉 Try Seasonax free for 30 days and explore thousands of seasonal patterns across stocks, commodities and indices: https://app.seasonax.com/signup #tradingstrategy #goldtrading #gold #commodities #etf #marketanalysis #seasonality #investing #seasonax