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The NYC real estate market is waking up—but what's really moving the needle? In this snowy Macro Monday, UrbanDigs' Noah Rosenblatt and John Walkup break down the surprising strength in precious metals, the eerie calm in credit spreads, and what it all might signal for New York City housing in 2026. Is this the calm before a storm... or just a long winter thaw? We cover: Manhattan market snapshot: supply still tight, demand trickling in Credit spreads at 2007 levels: What does that not tell us? Precious metals surging: Why gold and silver might be early warning signs Fed funds expectations: Why “certainty” might be dangerous Mortgage rates: Stable, but is the drop done? National vs NYC housing volume: New construction wins the directional race Sub-luxury market shows green shoots Pricing/Timing strategies for spring 2026 💬 Join the conversation in the comments—we’re watching live ✅ Subscribe for weekly updates on NYC real estate & macro trends 🌐 See the latest market insights at UrbanDigs.com 🎧 Catch our podcast: Talking Manhattan 👉 Want help pricing your next listing with real-time data and expert insight? Learn more about the UrbanDigs Advisor program at UrbanDigs.co ⏱️ Timestamps: 00:00 Intro & Snow Day Vibes 01:40 Manhattan Market Snapshot: Supply vs. Demand 06:45 Seasonality & Contract Activity Outlook 10:30 How to See "Normal" in UrbanDigs Charts 13:00 Anecdotal Buyer Activity Reports 15:05 Credit Spreads: Canary in the Coal Mine? 17:20 Precious Metals Going Bonkers: What Does It Mean? 21:50 Is NYC Real Estate a “Hard Asset” Hedge? 25:00 Fed Funds Futures: Market Predicting Stasis 29:10 Mortgage Rates: Is the Drop Over? 32:00 Mortgage Spread Compression: A Hidden Force 35:20 National Housing Market Volume Update 38:00 Why New Construction Is Winning 41:10 Manhattan Price Sectors: Sub-Luxury Leads the Way 44:00 The Power of Climate Index & Liquidity Charts 48:30 When to List: Strategy for Spring 2026 52:00 Final Thoughts & Upcoming Events Keywords: NYC real estate trends, housing market 2026, Macro Monday UrbanDigs, interest rates 2026, gold vs real estate, credit spreads 2026, Fed funds futures explained, silver market surge, mortgage rates forecast, Manhattan real estate insights, UrbanDigs Advisor, when to list real estate NYC, luxury vs sub-luxury real estate, pricing strategy NYC housing