Thinking in Bets by Annie Duke | Book Summary | Make Smarter Decisions скачать в хорошем качестве

Thinking in Bets by Annie Duke | Book Summary | Make Smarter Decisions

Join Annie Duke, World Poker Champion, cognitive psychologist, and author of 'Thinking in Bets' and 'How to Decide.' Annie Duke delves into the art of decision-making under uncertainty, using real-world examples like Seahawks coach Pete Carroll's infamous Superbowl 49 call. Discover how to focus on decision quality over outcomes, avoid biases, leverage a long-term perspective, and incorporate diverse opinions for superior decision-making. Explore practical strategies for creating dissent lines within organizations, cultivating empathy, and rewiring reward systems, along with the transformative potential of AI in complex decision-making contexts. Annie offers actionable advice for fostering a growth mindset, balancing risk with calculated bets for business innovation, and implementing efficient decision-making processes. Tune in to enhance your business strategies and innovative thinking with expert insights from Annie Duke. Annie Duke, Thinking in Bets, Pete Carroll, Seahawks, NFL, Super Bowl, Aidan McCullen, cognitive psychology, decision making, uncertainty, poker, quit, innovation, risk assessment, feedback loops, cognitive science, Eric Seidel, Marshawn Lynch, National Science Foundation, decision quality, resulting, precommitment contracts, game theory optimal, executive education, Wharton Thinking in Bets written by Annie Duke released in 2018, hits decision making from a different angle. The author was a professional poker player who is also the only woman to have won the NBC National Heads-Up Poker Championship and the WSOP Tournament of Champions), and now is a consultant and speaker on decision strategy. Thinking in Bets is a book that focuses on how luck impacts on the outcomes of our decisions. Hence, the best decision does not always yield the best outcome. The key to long-term success is to think about decisions in percentages, we must accept when we just got lucky and an outcome was highly unlikely when . Also, we should not kick ourselves if a decision that has a 90% likelihood of a positive outcome fails. We must look at these failures as the influence of luck rather than bad decision making. thinking in bets book summary will give you a fresh perspective on how to improve your decision-making skills. In her book "Thinking In Bets," Annie Duke will teach you some lessons on making better decisions. Annie Duke Professional Poker player and WSOP bracelet winner. So let's take a look at how to improve your decision-making. "Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result. n Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a handing off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted, and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck? Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making? Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say ""I'm not sure"" in a world that values, and even rewards, the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes. 0:00 - Intro 0:08 - Outcome Tree 0:30 - Resulting & Hindsight Bias 0:55 - Learning Pods 1:15 - Mental Time Travel 1:30 - Backcasting and Pre-mortems 1:45 - Summary #BookSummary #ThinkingInBets #Poker #decisionmaking #booksummary #annieduke #SmarterDecisions #BuddySystem #CombattingOurEmotions