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Rolling Recovery

Unlock Financial Insights: Gain Clear Market Perspectives. Get your competitive edge with clear analysis and expert commentary on economic indicators. After more than 40 years of experience on Wall Street, I would like to share what I have learned about markets with investors like you. For early access to these webcasts, daily insights, focused news, clear charts, and much more from me and my team, become a paid member of https://yardeniquicktakes.com SPECIAL OFFER: To celebrate the launch of QuickTakes, I am offering my followers a free month of paid membership: https://quicktak.es/Yt-0a ——————————————————— Instead of the economywide recession that was widely expected to result from the Fed’s monetary tightening, recessionary weakness rolled through different areas of the economy at different times. Now that rolling recession is turning into a rolling recovery. Accordingly, we’re raising our Q2 real GDP forecast from 1.0% to 2.0%, followed by 2.0% in Q3 and Q4. We now see a 75% chance of a soft landing (up from 70%)—subject to change depending on what the Fed does, which depends on what inflation does. … We expect inflation to continue to moderate, with a headline PCED rate closer 3.0% by year-end, down from 4.6% in May.