Climate Sensitivity - what is it and why is it important to know? скачать в хорошем качестве

Climate Sensitivity - what is it and why is it important to know?

Andrey Ganopolski of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) is one of the pioneers of constraining climate sensitivity from paleoclimatic data, as author of one of the first papers on this topic published in 2006: http://www.pik-potsdam.de/~stefan/Pub.... He coauthored the recent Nature paper "Making sense of paleoclimate sensitivity", which concludes on the basis of many studies that the experience of past climate changes in Earth's history implies a warming of 2.2--4.8K per doubling of atmospheric CO2, which agrees with IPCC estimates. Rohling, E. J., Sluijs, A., Dijkstra, H. A., Köhler, P., van de Wal, R.,S. W., von der Heydt, A. S., Beerling, D. J., Berger, A., Bijl, P. K., Crucifix, M., DeConto, R., Drijfhout, S. S., Fedorov, A., Foster, G. L., Ganopolski, A., Hansen, J., Hönisch, B., Hooghiemstra, H., Huber, M., Huybers, P., Knutti, R., Lea, D. W., Lourens, L. J., Lunt, D., Masson-Demotte, V., Medina-Elizalde, M., Otto-Bliesner, B., Pagan, M., Pälike, H., Renssen, H., Royer, D. L., Siddall, M., Valdes, P., Zachos, J. C., and Zeebe, R. E. (2012) Making sense of palaeoclimate sensitivity. Nature, 491, 683--691, doi:10.1038/nature11574