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“要确保长期盈利,交易者最直接的准则便是:任何一笔交易的投入不得超过账户资金的1%。这并非意味着仅用1%的资金进行交易,交易者可依据交易工具的波动状况来调整头寸规模,如此一来,亏损便能控制在1%以内。虽说这无法保证你避免连续亏损,但却能减轻心理负担,让你冷静应对每一笔交易。” ——Steve Burns,1993年投身交易领域的资深交易员。 20世纪90年代初,我初涉交易时很幸运,当时科技股处于上升趋势,每次下跌后价格都不断创下新高。采用逢低买入并持有的策略屡试不爽,这情形就如同2020年疫情后的几年里,股票和加密货币市场所呈现的那般。然而,2000年3月互联网泡沫破裂,股市见顶,随后开启了漫长的下跌趋势,步入熊市。从2000年起,我不得不学习如何在下跌趋势和交易区间中获取交易利润。 以下是我做的10件关键之事,它们助力我的资金在2003年恢复至历史最高水平,并且让我在过去20多年里成为一名盈利的交易者。 1:交易前先认清自己 2:重风险管理而非指标 3:把握大市场趋势 4:重风险/回报而非胜率 5:基本面分析助力构建观察列表 6:交易管理 7:风险管理 8:回测 9:交易系统开发 10:历史图表研究 "The most straightforward rule for traders to ensure long-term profitability is to not invest more than 1% of their account in any one trade. This does not mean trading with only 1% of their funds, but by adjusting the position size based on the volatility of the trading instrument, losses can be controlled within 1%. Although this will not guarantee that you will not lose money in a row, it will reduce the psychological burden and allow you to deal with each trade calmly." - Steve Burns, a veteran trader who has been trading since 1993. I was lucky when I first started trading in the early 1990s, when technology stocks were on an upward trend and prices continued to hit new highs after each decline. The strategy of buying on dips and holding on has always worked well, which is what the stock and cryptocurrency markets have shown in the years after the epidemic in 2020. However, the dot-com bubble burst in March 2000, the stock market peaked, and then started a long downward trend and entered a bear market. From 2000, I had to learn how to trade profits in downward trends and trading ranges. Here are the 10 key things I did that helped my money recover to its all-time high in 2003 and made me a profitable trader for more than 20 years. 1: Know yourself before trading 2: Focus on risk management rather than indicators 3: Grasp the big market trend 4: Focus on risk/reward rather than win rate 5: Fundamental analysis helps build a watch list 6: Trade management 7: Risk management 8: Backtesting 9: Trading system development 10: Historical chart research 本文已得到《交易者说》公众号的授权,原文可查阅公众号。