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Quantum Entropy And Probability Of Outcomes

For over 60 years we have been told that the thermodynamic theory of tornadogenesis is "assumed to be valid" with a "reasonable margin of success" as expressed by D K Lilly of the NSSL in 1969. That was false. In 1976 JDOP was adopted for the development of Doppler radar. Even after the implementation of Dual Polarization for Doppler almost 40 years later, the False Alarm rate remains around 70% and the Probability of detection remains less than 60% and the NWS is failing to meet goals of improvement (GPRA). In the past 5 years, a complete reassessment and reevaluation of these paradigms are underway. That ship has left port. “The seeds of quantum theory lay in the kinetic theory of gases” Chapter 23 Page 594 Halliday and Resnick Physics Textbook Meteorologists should reasonably be expected to demonstrate the problem solving skills of a second year major in physics. If we waited long enough, even the most improbable states of nature might occur: the probability of an outcome, when computed, might turn out to be incredibly small. If the expected outcome is diminishingly small, then the expected outcome might not be observable by even the most sensitive instrumentation available and may not occur in nature due to a violation of a physical law. In the specific examples provided, results were produced on a 40mHz processor using Excel on Windows 3.01. These examples are found in the Second Edition of Halliday and Resnick's physics textbook used by the undergraduate physics department at the University of Alabama in Birmingham in the 1970's (Chapter 25 page 642) with another example provided by physicist George Gamow in his famous work for teaching first year students of quantum mechanics, "Mr. Tomkins in Wonderland". PBS provided a graphic illustration of the issue described above in a "Space Time" video on Youtube in 2020