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A Tale Of Two Markets (Ep. 175)

Markets keep climbing, headlines keep swinging, and yet sentiment still feels stuck somewhere between cautious and confused. In Episode 175 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, zoom out to examine what is actually driving markets right now and where investors may be misreading the signals. From shifting expectations around growth and inflation to the way earnings, liquidity, and policy are interacting beneath the surface, they separate the emotional narrative from the measurable data. The conversation moves through current market leadership, valuation concerns, recession odds, and the risks that deserve attention without overreacting to every headline. They also explore what history suggests about similar environments, how positioning can amplify volatility, and why staying disciplined often feels hardest right when it matters most. Markets can feel split. The data tells a clearer story. Read Market Outlook 2026: Riding the Wave for perspective on what may shape 2026. ► https://www.carsongroup.com/market-ou... Key Takeaways: • Earnings remain the foundation: Corporate profits continue to anchor market strength, even as narratives shift week to week • Sentiment lags fundamentals: Investor psychology still reflects caution despite improving breadth and resilient data • Policy and liquidity matter: Rate expectations, fiscal dynamics, and capital flows are shaping the next phase of returns • Volatility is part of the process: Pullbacks and headline shocks fit within historical patterns of ongoing expansions • Discipline beats drama: Long-term investors benefit more from structure and perspective than from reacting to every news cycle Jump to: 0:00 - New Titles And Banter 2:42 - Framing A Tale Of Two Markets 5:10 - Sector Splits And Market Breadth 11:55 - Global Equity Strength And Style Shifts 16:30 - AI Shockwaves Across Industries 22:40 - Tech’s Three Tracks: Software, Semis, Telecom 27:35 - Short Interest, Contrarian Signals In Tech 31:30 - International Rallies And Country Leaders 37:15 - Jobs Revisions And Labor Market Reality 44:20 - Youth Employment, AI Fears, And Data 50:05 - Spurious Correlations And Market Folklore 56:20 - CPI Details, Shelter Math, And Services Heat Connect with Ryan: • LinkedIn:   / ryandetrick   • X: https://x.com/RyanDetrick Connect with Sonu: • LinkedIn:   / sonu-varghese-phd   • X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=en Questions about the show? We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com #FactsVsFeelings, #StockMarket, #Investing, #MarketOutlook, #EarningsSeason, #RecessionWatch, #economicdata [stock market outlook, investing podcast, Ryan Detrick, Sonu Varghese, market volatility, earnings growth, recession risk, inflation trends, Federal Reserve policy, market sentiment, economic outlook 2026, equity markets, asset allocation, financial markets]