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The Jasmine Revolution will wither in North Africa

http://www.intelligencesquared.com/ev... On the 16th May, with uprisings in Libya and Syria still in full swing, a student audience convened at the Royal Society for a debate organised by the International Debate Education Association (IDEA), the Open Society Foundation (OSF), IQ2, the British Council along with the International Herald Tribune, the events media partner. The motion: 'The Jasmine Revolution will wither in North Africa: it won't meet the expectations of youth'. The debate begins with Egyptian youth activist Nora Ayman arguing for the motion. She asserts that conditions are not yet ripe for democracy to take hold in North Africa. Norman Stone, Professor of History at Bilkent University, Ankara, warns of a repeat of the 1848 revolutions, whose end saw much worse governments in power than there had been to start. British writer and commentator Douglas Murray highlights that the most ruthless dictatorships have comfortably withstood rebel advances and that without considerable Western intervention, a democratic future is still, unfortunately, just a dream. First to speak for the opposition is Egyptian Ahmed Naguib, who argues that advances made in North Africa are so substantial a return to tyranny is unthinkable. Roger Cohen, columnist for The New York Times and the International Herald Tribune and a reporter in Tahrir Square during the uprisings, acknowledges that the challenges for North Africa are great, but nevertheless sees the proposition's case as pessimistic not realistic. Fawaz Gerges, Professor of Middle Eastern Politics and International Relations at the London School of Economics, explains that a psychological change has taken place across North Africa, and that the voices of those millions that are now awakened, cannot be ignored by the military. First vote: 46 For, 75 Against, 55 Don't know Final vote: 40 For, 148 Against, 12 Don't know