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Speaker: Zhiwu Chen, Chair and Cheng Yu-Tung Professor in Finance at the University of Hong Kong (HKU). Zhiwu Chen currently serves as director of both HK Institute for Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) and Centre for Quantitative History (CQH). China’s center of socioeconomic activities was in the North prior to the Tang dynasty but is in the South today. Zhiwu Chen of HKU Business School and his co-authors demonstrate that Arab and Persian Muslim traders triggered that transition when they came to China in the late seventh century, by lifting maritime trade along the South Coast and re-creating the South. Between 742 and 1393 CE, prefectures with better access to maritime trade, or higher porcelain trade participation, experienced significantly higher population growth, but the predictive coefficient weakened substantially after the maritime trade ban of 1371 CE. In this Quantitative History Webinar, Zhiwu Chen explains how their findings remain robust after controlling for many confounding factors. Zhiwu Chen’s co-authors: Zhan Lin (Renmin University of China) and Kaixiang Peng (Wuhan University) Discussant: Billy K. L. So, Professor Emeritus, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Fellow, Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences The paper is available online as an early view before being included in a future issue. https://www.cqh.hku.hk/research/rise-... Quantitative History Webinar Series Conveners: Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma © 2025 Centre for Quantitative History, HKU Business School and International Society for Quantitative History Live on Zoom on Thursday, March 6, 2025 21:00 (Hong Kong/Beijing/Singapore) 08:00 (New York) | 13:00 (London) | 22:00 (Tokyo) Follow QH | Quantitative History | An Area of Excellence International Society for Quantitative History: https://quantitativehistory.org/ Centre for Quantitative History: https://www.cqh.hku.hk/