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The 12 Causes of the Russo-Ukrainian War

Check out my new book "What Caused the Russia-Ukraine War? (And How Will It End?)" on Amazon (paid link): https://amzn.to/3OIXk6E What caused the Russo-Ukrainian War? This video tackles that question in four phases. First, we examine the substantive reasons Russia invaded Ukraine. Second, I explain why those reasons are collectively a half-cause for war. Third, we switch gears to discuss bargaining problems. Finally, we will investigate what each of these explanations implies for how the war will end. 0:00 Outline 1:19 Separatist Regions 3:54 Crimean Land Bridge 5:02 Russian Irredentism 6:42 East-West Rivalry 7:49 Energy 9:36 Water 10:34 Nazis 12:20 Substantive Explanations Are Half-Causes 12:54 Visualizing War's Expected Outcome (LINES ON MAPS) 14:21 Costs Incentivize Bargaining 15:09 Bargaining over Oil 17:00 Bargaining over Autonomy 17:34 Why War Is Puzzling 18:52 Preventive War and Shifting Power 21:00 Preemptive War and First Strikes 24:20 Uncertainty and Miscalculation 26:24 Rational, Unitary Actor Explanations for War 27:05 Irrationality 29:39 Personal Benefits 31:28 Substantive Cases and War Termination 32:57 Leadership Change 36:36 Stopping Power Shifts 39:52 Information Convergence 42:29 Endgame Almost in F - Tranquillity by Kevin MacLeod is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/... Source: http://incompetech.com/music/royalty-... Artist: http://incompetech.com/ Images licensed under CC BY 2.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/... From OSCE Special Monitoring Mission: https://www.flickr.com/photos/osce_sm... https://www.flickr.com/photos/osce_sm... From European People's Party: https://www.flickr.com/photos/4519883... Images licensed under CC BY-SA 2.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/... From spoilt.exile: https://www.flickr.com/photos/spoilt_... Images licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/... From Bundesarchiv: https://www.bild.bundesarchiv.de/dba/... From Ввласенко: https://tinyurl.com/yaj9nuk2 From RIAN archive: http://visualrian.ru/ru/site/gallery/... http://visualrian.ru/ru/site/gallery/... Images licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/... From President.gov.ua: https://www.president.gov.ua/en/photo... From mvs.gov.ua: https://www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=... From Government of Ukraine: https://www.zoda.gov.ua/news/4344/pre... https://www.zoda.gov.ua/news/21782/vi... From armyinform.com.ua: https://armyinform.com.ua/2022/03/26/... From Kremlin.ru: http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... From Rosavtodor.ru: http://rosavtodor.ru/press-center/med... http://rosavtodor.ru/about/upravlenie... From mil.ru: http://mil.ru/winner_may/history/more...