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Adams Financial Concepts Webinar - Don't Confuse the Unfamiliar with the Improbable

In this powerful workshop, Michael Adams of Adams Financial Concepts connects one of the most consequential days in U.S. history—**Pearl Harbor, December 7, 1941**—to the way investors misread risk today. Using the surprise attack on Pearl Harbor, the Great Recession, and the inflation waves of the *1960s–1970s stagflation era**, Mike shows how focusing on the *wrong threats can be financially devastating… and how to prepare your portfolio for what most investors still aren’t watching. --- What you’ll learn in this video *“Don’t confuse the unfamiliar with the improbable”* – what it really means for your money How U.S. leaders misjudged Pearl Harbor by fearing *sabotage* instead of *naval attack* Why investors keep looking for “the next Great Recession” and miss emerging risks The difference between *demand-pull inflation* and *cost-push inflation* Why the 1960–1980 period of *stagflation* (high inflation + high unemployment) was so brutal Parallels between the *1960s–70s* and today’s economy (jobs, inflation, consumer spending, inventories) Why there may be *no perfect hiding place* in a deep stagflationary recession How focusing on long-term growth businesses can still build wealth through difficult decades A real-life client story (“Alma”) showing how disciplined investing can transform retirement Key themes & topics covered *Pearl Harbor & Risk Perception* How U.S. planners feared internal sabotage from Japanese Americans instead of carrier-based attack How ships packed stem-to-stern and planes wingtip-to-wingtip made Pearl Harbor an easy target The lesson: Just because a risk is unfamiliar doesn’t mean it’s unlikely. *Secular Bull Markets & False Comparisons* Why the post-2009 *secular bull market* doesn’t look like the pre-2008 world Why the brief COVID downturn (162 days) can mislead investors into expecting the wrong kind of crisis *Inflation: Demand-Pull vs Cost-Push* **Demand-pull inflation**: too many dollars chasing too few goods (stimulus, pandemic reopening, used car prices, etc.) **Cost-push inflation**: rising wages and input costs (grain shock, oil shock, 1960s–70s experience) Why raising rates alone may tame demand-pull but is often not enough for cost-push inflation *Stagflation: The Silent Threat* What stagflation looked like in the 1970s: ~10% unemployment Double-digit inflation A decade+ of stock market returns just struggling to keep up with the *Consumer Price Index (CPI)* Example price changes from 1960–1992 (stamps, Coke, milk, eggs) vs the post-1990s period How long it took – roughly *32 years* – for the S&P 500 to catch up with inflation in that era *Signals vs Noise in Today’s Markets* Why headlines about car loan defaults, student loans, or credit cards are not the same as a housing-driven crisis How to weigh *scale**, **historical context**, and **math* instead of reacting to fear-based narratives What rising inventories, shifting consumer behavior, and job trends may be signaling now *Real Client Case Study: Alma* A 65-year-old professional who thought she’d work for life Started with under $1 million, took substantial income, paid off her condo, and still saw her portfolio grow How long-term, growth-oriented investing can leave you better prepared for difficult economic regimes The contrast between AFC results vs a “typical advisor” path and what that means for retirement freedom (Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.) --- Why this matters for your financial future Stagflation is *slow**, subtle, and easy to dismiss—until it isn’t. Like Pearl Harbor, the real danger is assuming, *“That can’t happen here,” simply because we haven’t seen it recently. Mike’s message: *Don’t prepare only for the last crisis.* *Don’t mistake unfamiliar risks for impossible risks.* Structure your portfolio so that, whether we enter stagflation or not, you’re aiming to have **more money than you need**, not less. --- Watch next / Stay connected 🔔 *Subscribe* to the channel for weekly workshops on: Long-term investing Risk management and economic cycles Retirement planning and portfolio strategy 📩 Want to talk with Mike about your own situation? Connect with him @ [email protected] 📺 Catch past workshops and replays on our YouTube channel, available *24/7* so you can learn at your own pace. --- Suggested hashtags #Investing #Stagflation #Inflation #PearlHarbor #FinancialPlanning #RetirementPlanning #StockMarket #Economy #WealthBuilding #RiskManagement

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