Macro Week Wrap Up - Navigating the FX Markets Amid U.S.-China Trade Tensions скачать в хорошем качестве

Macro Week Wrap Up - Navigating the FX Markets Amid U.S.-China Trade Tensions

Markets have been chaotic over the past 24 hours, and today I'm diving into how the U.S.-China trade tensions are shaping our trading landscape. As traders, we thrive in volatility—whether markets go up or down, our edge lies in understanding the macroeconomic landscape and positioning accordingly. The current tension between the U.S. and China is escalating fast. We've seen reciprocal tariffs spike—104% on Chinese imports from the U.S., and an 84% retaliation from China. Now, Donald Trump pushes it even further, announcing tariff hikes up to 125%. This triggers sharp moves across the board. The S&P 500, for instance, plunged from all-time highs to near 4800 in just two months—only to retrace 50% in a single day. That’s the kind of volatility we need to stay sharp for. This trade war is far more than just politics—it’s impacting global GDP forecasts, business sentiment, and capital flows. JPMorgan, for example, revised U.S. GDP growth to -0.3%. Currency-wise, we see safe havens like the Japanese yen and Swiss franc strengthening, while emerging markets weaken under pressure. USD/JPY has been dropping, gold just hit $3,200, and the Chinese yuan is sliding as the PBOC allows it to weaken over 2.5%. Meanwhile, central banks are reacting. The Fed signals a dovish stance, even cutting rates to soften the blow of a strong dollar on exports. In contrast, the PBOC intervenes to guide the yuan, deploying capital controls to avoid panic. We’re essentially watching a strategic currency chess match play out in real time. So how do I position myself? First, I look at gold as a top safe haven—though not at current highs. I’d rather wait for a pullback before entering. EUR/USD also shows strength, with potential to hit 1.12–1.13. But overall, my focus is on sentiment, central bank signals, and macro headlines—because right now, CPI and NFP barely move markets. It’s all about policy uncertainty and trade dynamics. Stay adaptive. Stay sharp. And always trade what you see, not what you think. Register here for the next webinar: https://acy.com/en/education/webinars/ Join Luca's Telegram Trading Feed: https://t.me/+bkfmaA76P2VlMTQ1 Free Trading eBook Series: https://acy.com/en/education/ebook/ Open a Live or Demo Account here: https://acy.cloud/open-live-account?u...    • Deep Dive into Crypto - Is Bitcoin on...      • Luca Santos - Forex Strategy Essentials      • ACY Securities Forex Education Series   Get in touch today: Web: https://www.acy.com Twitter:   / acy_securities   Facebook:   / acy.securities   Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2g4Py8A... Phone: Australia 1300 729 171 International +61 2 9188 2999 #acysecurities #keylevels #MarketVolatility #TradeWar #USChinaTensions #CurrencyDevaluation #SmartMoneyConcepts #LiquidityAnalysis #MacroFundamentals #Gold #USDJPY #SwissFranc #CFDTrading #PriceAction #CentralBanks #FederalReserve #PBoC #audusd #eurgbp #eurusd #nzdusd #usdcad #usdchf #usdjpy #usdollar #gold #xauusd #sp500 #nas100 Foreign exchange and derivatives trading carries significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange and derivatives, we encourage you to consider your investment objectives, your risk tolerance and trading experience. ACY Securities Pty Ltd (AFSL: 403863) provides general advice that does not consider your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should consider if you are part of our Target Market by reviewing our TMD and read our FSG and PDS to ensure you fully understand the risks. The content of this presentation must not be construed as personal advice and the information in this presentation is prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs; please seek advice from an independent financial or tax advisor if you have any questions. ACY Securities Pty Ltd is regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC AFSL:403863). Registered address: ACY Tower, Level 18, 799 Pacific Hwy, Chatswood NSW 2067. AFSL authorised us to provide financial services to Australian Residents or Businesses. ACY Capital LLC ('ACY LLC'), ACY LLC is incorporated in St Vincent and the Grenadines (Company number: 2610 LLC 2022). Registered address: Suite 305, Griffith Corporate Centre, Beachmont, Kingstown. ACY Securities SA Pty Ltd (Reg.: 2009/008731/07) is regulated by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA: 51008). Registered address: 4 Stan Road, Sandton, Johannesburg, Gauteng, 2196. FSCA authorised us to provide financial services in terms of section 8 of the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services. © 2020 - 2025 ACY Securities is a brand name of ACY AU and ACY LLC, ACY Securities Pty Ltd. All rights Reserved.