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From the first State of the Nation Breakfast in Pretoria, we unpack why the 2024 election was a reality check for every major party and why that’s (surprisingly) good news for South Africa. The ANC can’t pass reckless laws anymore, the DA looks like a party that “caught the car”, MK is already drifting into COPE-style dysfunction, and the EFF is shrinking into a one-man show. Most important: 42% of registered voters stayed home and those votes are now the real battleground for 2026 and 2029. IN THIS EPISODE • Why coalition gridlock can actually protect SA from “majority madness” • The ANC’s trauma: no more unchecked power + looming 2027 succession war • The DA problem: built to oppose… not to govern • MK’s dysfunction: “COPE 2.0” in the making • EFF decline: revolution doesn’t sell to most South Africans • Why voters deserve more respect than “they’ll vote ANC anyway” • The election math: 40m eligible 30m registered 16m voted 42% stayed home • The DA’s ceiling: why leadership optics matter if they want growth • The big risk: Trump-style pressure can trigger protest votes for incumbents • Foot-and-mouth disaster: economic damage + GNU silence Don’t just complain get involved, share this conversation, and subscribe for more State of the Nation insights. Get Daily Updates: @PoliticalInsiderZA LIVE EVENT TICKETS R550 ex VAT The Tryst Kramerville (13 Feb 2026) with Moeletsi Mbeki & Mighti Jamie Tickets: https://sona.co.za/index.php/events/ Follow @sonacoza on TikTok, Instagram, X, and Facebook Produced by Stream In Studios – https://www.streamin.co.za The State Of the Nation is Proudly Sponsored by Pace Car Rental https://www.pacecarrental.co.za/ Use Code : SONA for a discount today! Chapters: 0:00 Welcome to the first Pretoria SONA Breakfast 0:55 Thanks + how the morning will run 3:23 400,000 followers: from COVID to live events again 4:10 Why I’m optimistic after 2024 4:58 ANC reality check: majority power is OVER 6:25 ANC succession war: 2027 could be the “last ANC president” 7:55 DA problem: the dog that caught the car 9:02 MK chaos: COPE 2.0 and Zuma without guardrails 12:36 EFF decline: SA isn’t built for revolution 13:51 Why dysfunction is (weirdly) good news: nobody can pass bad laws 15:35 Example of “cockamamie laws”: outcomes-based education + expropriation era 17:00 Gridlock = breathing room for the country 18:07 Citizens understand coalitions now 19:34 Stop saying “they’ll vote ANC anyway” 21:10 The real battleground: non-voters 21:27 The math: turnout collapse + 42% stayed home 22:56 What non-voters want: competence + delivery 23:53 DA ceiling: leadership optics and “read the room” 25:13 Why FF+ isn’t a mass solution 26:28 Steenhuisen to step down: DA opportunity moment 27:47 The wildcard: Trump can accidentally help the ANC 30:20 Economy warning: sabotage incentives + bad policy consensus 36:18 Foot-and-mouth: cost, small businesses hurt, GNU silent