Coronavirus lockdowns, a good idea скачать в хорошем качестве

Coronavirus lockdowns, a good idea

UK Cases, (App) + 2,605 COVID symptoms in the UK, 29, 022 Daily cases https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus UK lockdown date, 23rd March Now Cases, + 3,000 Tests, + 170,000 Peak Cases, + 4, 845 Tests, + 65,000 Rebecca Hanson Andrew Bayliff Unknowns from first peak Mostly only testing people in hospital Antibodies only last about 10 weeks Significant surveys not done in time https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/20183... T cell tests would be good App Data (Zoe, King’s College, Tim) https://covid.joinzoe.com/data#intera... 1st April, Prevalence Over 2, 100 000 cases Assume symptoms last for 10 days 1st April , Incidence Cases, + 200, 000, 20% for asymptomatics = Cases, + 240, 000 more symptoms now recognised Deaths peak ONS, Deaths peaked w/e 19th April (week 16) UK, 9, 495 for the week https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati... = 1, 351 deaths per day So peak CFR Cases = 4,845 Deaths = 1,351 CFR = 27 % Peak IFR Cases, 240,000 Deaths, 1,351 IFR = 0.56% Estimating the infection fatality ratio in England, (21 August, CEBM) https://www.cebm.net/oxford-covid-19-... https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/estimat... IFR falling over time ONS, IFR, as of 4 August, 0.49% MRC, IFR, as of 28 July, 0.30% Without lockdown Exponential growth up to 40, 000, 000 infections Less deaths in younger people More deaths due to overwhelmed NHS 5% of 40, 000, 000 = 2 million