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Donald Trump is just as unpopular as 2018. But Democrats are way behind where they were then — why? As we move closer to the 2026 midterm elections, Democrats’ lead on the generic ballot is half the size it was at this time in Trump’s first term, offering a warning sign for Democrats and a potential ray of hope for Republicans. We explore three potential explanations: a weaker Democratic Party brand, the lingering political impact of Joe Biden’s presidency, and, maybe most key, growing frustration within the Democratic base itself. Whether this trend forestalls the blue wave Democrats are hoping for remains to be seen. For now, both parties still have a lot on the line. 0:00 Intro 1:15 1: Dems’ brand problem 3:38 2: The ghost of Biden 5:46 3: Dem voters’ dissatisfaction 7:20 The landscape right now Subscribe to Steve's newsletter: TheLongRun.news Subscribe to The Recount / @therecount