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EDITORIAL NOTE: The calculations around the likelihood of the asteroid hitting Earth fluctuate over time. The initial calculation we've included in the video was the prediction at the time of publication on February 14, 2025. An asteroid is on a collision course with Earth, possibly making impact in 2032. In the unlikely event that Asteroid 2024 YR does strike Earth, it would generate an explosion equal to nearly 8 million tons of TNT. That’s 500 times the power of the atomic bomb that was dropped on Hiroshima during WWII. But there’s no cause for alarm: Space agencies estimate there’s about a 2% chance of impact, and that number may go down. 📰 Stay up to date on the latest science discoveries, full episodes, articles, videos, and more by signing up for NOVA's newsletter here: https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/newslet... 🛍️ Shop official NOVA 50th anniversary merch: https://nova-shop.org/ Follow on social for more NOVA content Twitter: / novapbs Instagram: / novapbs TikTok: / novapbs