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Why Bitcoin Analysts Keep Getting It Wrong

In this video, I break down why these predictions keep failing and what the actual on-chain data is telling us. I show the key levels I'm watching (STH Cost Basis, True Market Mean, Realized Price), and other metrics. Plus, I share my perspective on what on-chain analysis is useful for. Thanks for watching. Track all these metrics for FREE: https://chartinspect.com Upgrade to Pro for 10-min updates + 28 pro charts: https://chartinspect.com/pricing Telegram: https://t.me/chartinspect TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Bitcoin Breaks Below Fair Value 0:40 - Why Analysts Keep Getting It Wrong 1:13 - Tom Lee's Failed Predictions 2:40 - Narratives vs Data 3:32 - Key On-Chain Levels (Dashboard Breakdown) 5:01 - True Market Mean Explained 7:14 - Short-Term Holder Supply Warning 8:15 - Composite Momentum Indicator 11:26 - LTH Wealth Concentration (Misunderstood Metric) 16:01 - Tying It All Together 17:48 - The Honest Truth (Nobody Knows Short-Term) 20:00 - When to Start DCA'ing 20:53 - Bear Market Bottoms Form Fast 24:06 - Outro + Chart Inspect