How to improve Yield Curve predictions скачать в хорошем качестве

How to improve Yield Curve predictions

The yield curve has been used to predict recessions for many years now. But there are many different yield spreads that can be used. Should we use the 3 month / 10 year spread? Or the 2 year / 10 year spread? What if we choose to use a different pair of spreads? Say the 3 month / 5 year? Would that still give us the same prediction? In this video, I'll break down the biggest problem with our current way of using the yield curve for predictions: the subjectivity. I show how there was a single day that produced 4 different yield curve predictions simply by choosing different points on the yield curve for the spreads. I then introduce the solution to this problem, the inversion-count indicator, that would eliminate any subjectivity behind yield curve predictions once and for all. BGM from: Airport Lounge - Disco Ultralounge by Kevin MacLeod is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/...) Source: http://incompetech.com/music/royalty-... Artist: http://incompetech.com/