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They're not talking about ending the dollar anymore. They're actively building the system to replace it. And it's not some distant theoretical threat. It's operational right now. January 15, 2026: BRICS nations officially launched the "Unit" - a new settlement currency for international trade backed 40% by physical gold and 60% by a basket of BRICS national currencies. This isn't a proposal. This isn't a white paper. This is a live, functioning alternative to the U.S. dollar system that just went operational for nearly half the world's population. THE EXORBITANT PRIVILEGE - WHAT'S AT STAKE: 1944 Bretton Woods: U.S. dollar became world's reserve currency. Every major currency pegged to dollar. Dollar pegged to gold at $35/oz. International trade, especially oil, conducted in dollars. This created constant global demand for U.S. currency allowing America to: Run massive trade deficits ($800B annually) without normal consequences Print dollars, world accepts them as payment for real goods (oil, electronics, cars, food) Borrow at lower interest rates than any other country because central banks buy U.S. Treasury bonds to hold dollar reserves U.S. can run $800B trade deficit every year without currency crisis. Run $2T budget deficit and still borrow at reasonable rates. Accumulate $38T in debt without immediate consequences. This is the foundation of American prosperity for 80 years. Not innovation. Not productivity. The structural advantage of controlling global reserve currency. And that monopoly is ending right now. WHAT JUST CHANGED - LAST 60 DAYS: January 2026: BRICS Unit currency system goes live. Russia-India trade oil in Units. China-Brazil settle agricultural commodities in Units. Saudi Arabia-China negotiating oil contracts in Units instead of dollars. January 2026: Saudi Arabia, lynchpin of petrodollar system since 1974, joins BRICS formally. Petrodollar agreement dead since mid-2024. Now settling oil trades in yuan and potentially Units. Petrodollar is over. January 2026: China's U.S. Treasury holdings drop to $680B, lowest since 2008. Sold over $600B in last decade. Actively exiting. Russia sold virtually all holdings after 2022 sanctions ($150B to under $10B). Don't want dollars. Don't trust dollars. Building alternatives. THE MATH OF DOLLAR MONOPOLY LOSS: U.S. runs $800B annual trade deficit. Import $3.8T goods/services. Export $3T. Consume $800B more than we produce every year. How we get away with it: Foreign countries need dollars for trade, so they accept our paper for their real goods. What happens when they don't need dollars anymore? When China buys Saudi oil with yuan or Units? When Russia sells gas to India in rupees? When Brazil sells soybeans to China in yuan? When BRICS nations (46% global population, $28T combined GDP) conduct trade without dollars? DEMAND FOR DOLLARS COLLAPSES. VALUE OF DOLLAR COLLAPSES. THE CASCADE: DOLLAR DEVALUATION: Dollar loses 30% of value, everything imported becomes 30% more expensive overnight. iPhone $1,000 to $1,300. Car $35K to $45K. Gas $3.50 to $5/gallon. Crushing inflation. INTEREST RATE SPIKE: If foreign central banks aren't buying U.S. Treasuries (don't need dollar reserves), who buys $2T in new debt government needs to issue this year? Yields must rise. 10-year Treasury at 4.8% could go to 7-8-10%. Mortgage rates at 7% go to 10-12%. Housing prices collapse. Corporate borrowing costs explode. Bankruptcies surge. GOVERNMENT INSOLVENCY: U.S. pays $1.2T/year interest on $38T debt at 3% average. If rates go to 7% as debt refinanced, interest expense goes to $2.6T/year - more than all individual income tax revenue. Budget becomes mathematically impossible. Only option: money printing, which accelerates inflation, weakens dollar further, requires more printing. Death spiral. STANDARD OF LIVING COLLAPSE: American middle class built on cheap imports and cheap debt. When both become expensive, standard of living collapses. Salary up 5%, prices up 20-30-40%. Purchasing power evaporates. Retirement savings destroyed by inflation. THE ADOPTION CURVE - ACCELERATING FASTER THAN EXPECTED: STAGE 1 - REJECTION (2014-2020): Mostly talk, small bilateral agreements STAGE 2 - CONSTRUCTION (2020-2024): Infrastructure building. China launches CIPS alternative to SWIFT. Russia develops SPFS. India internationalizes UPI. BRICS nations coordinate on gold purchases (1,100+ tons/year for 3 straight years). STAGE 3 - OPERATIONAL LAUNCH (2025-2026): Unit currency goes live January 2026. Saudi Arabia joins BRICS. Oil trades settling in non-dollar currencies at scale. WE'RE HERE NOW. STAGE 4 - CRITICAL MASS (2026-2028 estimated): Enough countries join, enough trade volume shifts that system becomes self-sustaining, dollar loses monopoly permanently. 12-24 MONTHS AWAY based on current adoption rates.