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Ukraine’s winter and early spring campaign is doing more than holding the line — it’s actively shaping the battlefield in ways that could undermine Russia’s next major push before it fully begins. Precision strikes on Russian oil infrastructure, repeated hits in occupied territories, and the emergence of low-cost Ukrainian ballistic capabilities are steadily degrading logistics, fuel supply, and command coordination. At the same time, Russian forces are still conducting strikes of their own, but mounting equipment losses, troop attrition, and persistent morale challenges are complicating any large-scale offensive planning. Ukraine, meanwhile, is combining battlefield pressure with technological adaptation, leveraging drones, AI-assisted targeting, and asymmetric tactics to stretch Russian defenses. As Moscow redeploys forces just to stabilize existing lines, the question is no longer whether a spring offensive is coming — but whether it can succeed under these conditions. CHAPTERS: 0:00 Blunting Russia’s spring offensive 0:42 Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil 1:19 Successful strikes in occupied territories 2:26 Ukraine’s new low-cost ballistic missiles 3:54 Russia’s targeted attacks on Ukraine 4:54 Equipment and troop losses update 6:13 Comparing offensive strategies 7:14 Ukraine’s battlefield advances 9:32 Russia redeploys to hold the line 10:35 Russia’s struggle with troop morale 11:54 AI and tech’s role in warfare 13:16 Reflecting on Crimea’s occupation 14:26 Pokémon GO’s unexpected military legacy #UkraineWar #Russia #MilitaryAnalysis #Geopolitics #Ukraine Facts over noise. Context over headlines. Truth over talking points. **** To support me as as I provide Ukraine war context: **** Patreon: / professorgerdesexplains Buy Me A Coffee: https://buymeacoffee.com/professorgerdes Paypal: https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/profe... YouTube Channel Membership: / @professor-gerdes 🇺🇸 Contact the White House to express your support for Ukraine https://www.whitehouse.gov/contact/ ****IF YOU WISH TO PROVIDE DIRECT AID TO UKRAINE: **** 🇺🇦 I have partnered with Greg Terry for all donations to Ukraine. He has raised and delivered more than a quarter of a million dollars of aid to date. To directly support this effort of delivering necessary provisions to the front lines, click on these links (and then watch him give your donations to soldiers on the front lines on his channel): / @gregterryexperience Amazon Shopping List USA/North America (Shop and send to UKRAINE AID c/o Bethel Life's Gift Registry Address) https://a.co/iodWsUK Amazon Shopping List for EU/UK https://www.amazon.de/hz/wishlist/ls/... Direct Link for Financial Giving via our 501(c)(3) Tax-Deductible in the USA https://www.gregterry.org/donate.html Link for Greg's 501(c)(3) EIN Information https://www.gregterry.org/donate.html 🇺🇸 Alternatively, you may choose to donate to Samaritan’s Purse: https://www.samaritanspurse.org/our-m... 🇺🇦 If you wish to support the Ukrainian Army, give directly to United 24. Follow this link: https://u24.gov.ua/ **BUY SOMETHING TO SHOW YOUR SUPPORT FOR UKRAINE ** 🇺🇦 If you purchase from Saint Javelin with my link below, a cut of the proceeds will go directly to humanitarian aid for soldiers (bandages, tourniquets, etc.). I don't get the revenue. It goes to buy medical supplies from UnitewithUkraine.com. Use this link: https://www.saintjavelin.com/en-us?ut... 🇺🇸 This is the absolute CHEAPEST THING YOU CAN DO to support Ukraine (This is NOT MY SITE) https://amzn.to/4aPtwQr - Just support the war effort somehow. 🇺🇦 I wrote a book about Ukraine's president Zelenskyy which I have updated for the first 4-5 months of the war in Ukraine: It is free if you have Amazon Kindle Unlimited or $9.99 otherwise: https://amzn.to/3Q2wnyE 🇺🇦 If you cannot give or buy, you can like, share, and pray for the people of Ukraine. 🇺🇸 Please leave comments and tell me how I can help you gain more perspective. You can contact me @Dr_Gerdes on Twitter or email professorgerdesyt@gmail.com #UKRAINE #UKRAINERUSSIAWAR #UKRAINEWAR