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A former U.S. diplomat warns that recent actions by the Houthi movement may not signal full entry into the war—yet. According to analysis, missile launches from Yemen appear to be a calculated warning rather than a full-scale escalation. The message: if the United States and Israel dramatically intensify operations against Iran, the Houthis could fully join the conflict. For now, Washington’s strategy remains unchanged, with the group still seen as a secondary factor. A reported understanding between the Houthis and the administration has limited direct confrontation, particularly involving U.S. forces and Gulf states. However, experts warn the real threat lies in maritime disruption. The Bab-el-Mandeb Strait—one of the world’s most critical trade routes—could become a flashpoint. Even minimal attacks on commercial vessels in this narrow corridor could halt global shipping through the Red Sea, triggering massive economic consequences. While comparisons are being made to tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, analysts say a blockade at Bab-el-Mandeb would cross a clear red line for Washington and likely provoke immediate military retaliation. For now, the situation remains in a fragile “warning phase”—but the risk of rapid escalation is growing. Subscribe to our channel: http://bit.ly/AJSubscribe Follow us on Twitter: / ajenglish Find us on Facebook: / aljazeera Check our website: http://www.aljazeera.com/ Check out our Instagram page: / aljazeeraenglish Download AJE Mobile App: https://aje.io/AJEMobile #aljazeeraenglish #BreakingNews #aljazeeralivenews #aljazeeraenglish #palestine #newsfeed #news #aljazera #latestnews #gaza #israel #Iran #BreakingNews #news 📊 Timestamps 00:00 Houthis issue warning signal 01:05 Why now? Timing explained 02:10 Limited vs full participation 03:15 U.S. strategy unchanged 04:20 Current non-aggression understanding 05:30 Bab-el-Mandeb Strait threat 06:40 Red Sea shipping at risk 07:40 Comparison to Strait of Hormuz 08:40 U.S. red line explained 09:30 What happens next?