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Global intelligence agencies confirm that the Russian Federation is actively targeting the global logistics supply chain with incendiary devices while facing a catastrophic internal aviation infrastructure failure. This marks a violent decomposition of state control that threatens international freight routes and banking sector liquidity. The conflict has mutated from a conventional ground war into a hybrid crisis involving actuarial war risk premiums and sovereign debt insolvency risks. Three simultaneous collapses are redefining the conflict. First, a ball bearing famine and sanctions have degraded the Russian air fleet to the point where museum age transports are crashing inside domestic borders. Second, the unit economics of the shadow fleet are failing as rising insurance costs and drone strikes destroy petroleum export revenue and force a liquidity crisis. Third, the strategic culture of vranyo encourages commanders to falsify reports while the broader economy faces inflationary pressure and structural decay. These indicators suggest the shadow fleet is becoming a burning liability and that critical infrastructure protection is now the primary concern for Western governments. These financial and technical failures signal a dangerous escalation for global supply chains in 2025. CHAPTERS: 00:00 - Intro 01:19 - Russia is at War with the West: The Hybrid Threat 02:09 - Magnesium Incendiary Devices: Cargo Bomb Plot Exposed 03:24 - GRU's New Playbook: Recruiting Saboteurs with Crypto 04:14 - From Cables to Rail Lines: Hybrid War on NATO Infrastructure 05:20 - Russian Aviation Collapse: Flying Museum-Aged Aircraft 06:34 - Sanctions & Cannibalization: The Ball Bearing Famine 08:56 - The Shadow Fleet Squeeze: Tripling Black Sea War Risk Premiums 11:36 - Why Moscow Is Blind to Failure: Reporting Fake Victories 14:54 - Outro 👏 Become a Channel Member: / @jasonjaysmart ⚡⚡Connect with Jason for real-time analysis & verified updates: Substack: https://jasonjaysmart.substack.com Spotify: https://creators.spotify.com/pod/show... Tiktok: / jasonjsmart X (Twitter): https://x.com/OfficeJJSmart Facebook Personal: / jasonjaysmart Facebook Professional: / officejjsmart LinkedIn: / jasonjaysmart Mastodon: https://defenseofliberty.social/@Offi... BlueSky: https://bsky.app/profile/JJSmart.bsky... YouTube: / @jasonjaysmart Website: https://JasonJaySmart.com. Dr. Jason Jay Smart, also known as Jason Smart and Jason J Smart, is a political adviser who has lived and worked in Ukraine, Moldova, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Latin America. In 2010, he was banned for life by the Kremlin for supporting Russia’s democratic opposition to Vladimir Putin. #russianeconomy #globallogistics #aviationsafety #geopolitics #supplychain