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橡树资本联合创始人霍华德·马克斯最近做客《Global Money Talk》的访谈节目,谈到投资中最重要的一些事情。他强调市场的不确定性与非理性,价格波动虽可作信号却难被大众精准解读。投资规则并非一成不变,需依个人财务、性格等因素灵活应变,同时要从亚洲哲学汲取内心平和的力量以应对投资中的得失。他阐述了投资目标的定位,业余投资者应谨慎对待超越市场平均水平的追求。还提及投资运气成分与决策的复杂性,分享从非概率到概率思维的转变历程。 ➢市场的不确定性与非理性 ➢价格波动虽可作信号却难被大众精准解读 ➢投资规则并非一成不变,需依个人财务、性格等因素灵活应变 ➢从亚洲哲学汲取内心平和的力量以应对投资中的得失 ➢投资目标的定位,业余投资者应谨慎对待超越市场平均水平的追求 ➢投资运气成分与决策的复杂性 ➢从非概率到概率思维的转变历程 Howard Marks, co-founder of Oaktree Capital, recently appeared on the interview show "Global Money Talk" and talked about some of the most important things in investment. He emphasized the uncertainty and irrationality of the market. Although price fluctuations can be used as signals, they are difficult for the public to accurately interpret. Investment rules are not static and need to be flexible according to personal finances, personality and other factors. At the same time, we need to draw the power of inner peace from Asian philosophy to cope with the gains and losses in investment. He explained the positioning of investment goals, and amateur investors should be cautious about the pursuit of exceeding the market average. He also mentioned the luck component of investment and the complexity of decision-making, and shared the transformation process from non-probability to probability thinking. ➢ Uncertainty and irrationality of the market ➢ Although price fluctuations can be used as signals, they are difficult for the public to accurately interpret ➢ Investment rules are not static and need to be flexible according to personal finances, personality and other factors ➢ Draw the power of inner peace from Asian philosophy to cope with the gains and losses in investment ➢ Positioning of investment goals, amateur investors should be cautious about the pursuit of exceeding the market average ➢ Investment luck component and the complexity of decision-making ➢ Transformation process from non-probability to probability thinking