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独家：胡春华的未来想象空间|掌管巡视外事出镜率高于国家副主席｜保持与副总理对应级别

成为此频道的会员即可获享以下福利：    / @duwen2024   独家：掌管巡视外事出镜率高于国家副主席｜保持与副总理对应级别｜胡春华的未来想象空间 Exclusive: Oversees Inspections and Foreign Affairs, with Public Exposure Surpassing That of the Vice President | Maintains Rank Equivalent to Deputy Premier | Imagining the Future of Hu Chunhua 如今，胡春华是全国政协副主席，党组副书记，是排名第三的副主席。他具体分管政协党建、巡视、农业和农村委员会的工作。在全国政协内部，他负责组织“三农”对口协商、研学活动等事务，不时出现在各类农业座谈会上 。同时他还基本保留了每年2-3次外事访问的任务。经常作为中国国家主席特使，出席各类礼仪性外事任务。这个位置按理说只是个闲职，但胡春华依然忙碌非常，其曝光度和活跃度实际上是超越目前的国家副主席韩正的。——这背后其实大有文章。 胡春华这个曾经的储君，胡锦涛给习近平安排的隔代指定接班人。虽然20大上他被排挤出了政治局，但是，他现在还是中央委员，人还留在中共中央。并不算完全出局。 在中共的政治逻辑里，全国政协与国务院同属于正国级单位，国务院也称中央人民政府，历史上是从全国政协产生的。政协领导人同属于党和国家领导人行列。据老杜一位旧同事，也是目前熟悉全国政协，仍与胡春华有所走动的朋友讲，胡春华在全国政协的地位大体上与在国务院副总理的任上差不多。都是排名第三第四的样子。也都是分管党建和农业农村工作，都是他熟悉的领域。很多人说全国政协是闲差，话说回来，国务院副总理何尝不也是个闲差呢？目前习近平把一切权力都拿走了。国务院各组成部门的负责人都是中央委员，各单位都有党委、党组，这些党委、党组首先要对中央、也就是对习近平负责，接受习近平中央的领导，像农业农村部一类的国家部委，实际上都在看中央农业农村办公室的颜色行事。与此同时，外界都忽略了一个事实，就是胡春华实际在负责全国政协的巡视办公室。这个机构是中共反腐肃贪的一部分。全国政协这个中共官方的元老院，基本上就是一个中共腐败高官安置中心。在这里安置的都是一些中共政坛的曾经的叱诧风云高官是实权派，这些高官们贪污腐败了一辈子，到了全国政协基本上就是他们最后一站了，面对这个最后一站的巡视大员，实际上在全国政协没有任何一个人敢于轻蔑、羞辱胡春华。这些中共的元老们，大多都对他毕恭毕敬，不敢有丝毫懈怠。这与外界普遍认为的胡春华凉了，大势已去了，危在旦夕了的印象有明显差异。他的确凉了，的确大势已去了，的确危在旦夕，可那是针对习近平，针对总书记大位而言的，是所谓瘦死的骆驼比马大。胡春华的当下还真不是随便一个阿猫阿狗可以踩嚯的。也就是说，胡春华虽然已经失势，但在全国政协还是货真价实的实权派，实际上是能够拿捏全国政协这个元老院机构的。 Exclusive: Oversees Inspections and Foreign Affairs, with Public Exposure Surpassing That of the Vice President | Maintains Rank Equivalent to Deputy Premier | Imagining the Future of Hu Chunhua For some time, many friends have strongly requested that Lao Du discuss the current reality of Hu Chunhua. Due to being constantly busy, Lao Du has postponed it until now. Today, we will talk about this topic. At present, Hu Chunhua is Vice Chairman of the CPPCC (Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference) and Deputy Secretary of its Party Leadership Group, ranking third among the vice chairmen. He is specifically in charge of Party building, inspections, and the work of the Committee on Agriculture and Rural Affairs within the CPPCC. Within the CPPCC, he is responsible for organizing consultations and study sessions related to the “Three Rural Issues” (agriculture, rural areas, and farmers), and he frequently appears at various agricultural symposiums. At the same time, he still retains the task of conducting 2–3 foreign affairs visits each year. He often attends ceremonial foreign affairs events as the special envoy of the Chinese President. In theory, this position is supposed to be a sinecure, yet Hu Chunhua remains extremely busy. His public exposure and level of activity actually exceed that of the current Vice President Han Zheng. — There is much behind this. Hu Chunhua was once the designated heir, the successor arranged across generations by Hu Jintao for Xi Jinping. Although he was sidelined from the Politburo at the 20th Party Congress, he remains a member of the Central Committee and has not been completely pushed out of the central leadership. In the logic of CCP politics, the CPPCC and the State Council are both state-level organs. The State Council, also known as the Central People’s Government, historically evolved from the CPPCC. CPPCC leaders are also classified as part of the ranks of the Party and national leadership. According to an old colleague of Lao Du, who is familiar with the CPPCC and still maintains some contact with Hu Chunhua, Hu’s current status in the CPPCC is roughly equivalent to his former role as Vice Premier of the State Council. Both positions rank around third or fourth place, and both involve responsibilities over Party building and agricultural and rural affairs—areas he is familiar with. Many people say that the CPPCC is a leisurely post, but then again, is the post of Vice Premier in today’s China really not also a leisurely one? Currently, Xi Jinping has consolidated all power. The heads of all the departments under the State Council are Central Committee members, and each unit has its own Party Committee or Party Leadership Group. These Party groups must first answer to the Central Party leadership—meaning to Xi Jinping—and must follow his lead. Ministries like Agriculture and Rural Affairs in practice take cues from the Central Office for Rural Affairs. Meanwhile, the outside world has largely overlooked a key fact: Hu Chunhua is actually in charge of the Inspection Office of the CPPCC. This office is part of the CCP’s anti-corruption and disciplinary apparatus. The CPPCC, essentially the “Senate” of the CCP, serves as a retirement haven for high-level corrupt officials of the Party. Those placed here are usually once-powerful senior officials from the CCP political arena—true wielders of power in their day. Having spent a lifetime involved in corruption, the CPPCC is essentially their final stop. In the face of the chief inspector in this final stop, no one within the CPPCC dares to slight or disrespect Hu Chunhua. These party elders of the