The 100 Year Thinkers | Chris Mayer & Robert Hagstrom on the Dangers of Abstraction скачать в хорошем качестве

The 100 Year Thinkers | Chris Mayer & Robert Hagstrom on the Dangers of Abstraction

In this episode of the 100 Year Thinkers, we bring together Robert Hagstrom and Chris Mayer for a wide-ranging conversation on how great investors really think. Rather than focusing on formulas, factor labels, or short-term market predictions, the discussion explores investing as a discipline grounded in philosophy, language, psychology, and long-term business fundamentals. Drawing on ideas from Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, Bill Miller, and thinkers from outside finance, this conversation challenges many of Wall Street’s most common assumptions and offers a deeper framework for making better long-term investment decisions. Chris' New Book https://shop.generalsemantics.org/pro... Robert's Book: Investing: The Last Liberal Art https://www.amazon.com/Investing-Libe... Topics covered in this episode Why value investing has nothing to do with price to earnings or price to book ratios The false divide between value and growth investing and why growth is a component of value How abstractions and labels distort decision making in markets General semantics and how language shapes investing mistakes Charlie Munger’s concept of worldly wisdom and the latticework of mental models Why reversion to the mean is a flawed way to think about markets The stock market as a complex adaptive system rather than a predictable machine Why most market forecasts fail and why people still believe them Myopic loss aversion and how frequent evaluation destroys long-term returns The importance of time horizon, patience, and long-term compounding How great investors think about conviction, uncertainty, and being wrong When to hold through difficulty versus when to exit an investment Lessons from Buffett, Munger, and Bill Miller on thinking independently Timestamps 00:00 Value investing beyond ratios and labels 01:00 Introducing Robert Hagstrom and Chris Mayer 02:30 Investing as a subdivision of worldly wisdom 04:10 Abstractions, language, and Wall Street thinking 07:30 General semantics and investing mistakes 09:00 Latticework of mental models and interdisciplinary thinking 12:30 Buffett’s rejection of Wall Street jargon 18:55 Value versus growth and why the labels fail 23:40 Language, meaning, and investment errors 27:00 Time horizon, myopic loss aversion, and frequent evaluation 31:00 Sideways markets and where returns really come from 36:50 Complex adaptive systems and why prediction fails 40:00 Spurious correlations and false cause and effect 45:00 Forecasting, randomness, and the illusion of certainty 48:00 Conviction, expectations, and uncertainty in investing 50:00 When to sell and the cost of being wrong 54:30 Building an interdisciplinary investing framework