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Global events are shaking up mortgage rates and the spring housing market. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, disruptions in oil supply, and rising inflation could reverse the recent downward trend in rates - fast. In this episode of Market Shares, I explain why the Strait of Hormuz matters, how oil prices drive inflation and rates, and why the next 72 hours are critical for markets. I also break down key moves in MBS coupon pricing and what that means for borrowers, lenders, and builders. Topics We Cover: How Middle East conflicts impact mortgage rates and housing The critical role of the Strait of Hormuz in global oil supply Why oil prices can override typical “flight to safety” market behavior Best- and worst-case scenarios for interest rates after geopolitical events How short-term vs prolonged conflicts influence inflation and the Fed’s actions What happens in the MBS market, including shifts in coupons and rate sheet opportunities The macro connection: oil, inflation, and mortgage rate movement Historical lessons from Desert Storm and other black swan events Practical takeaways for loan officers, real estate pros, and housing market watchers 🎙 Understanding these global forces is essential to stay ahead! 🔔 Don’t miss out! Subscribe and stay ahead of the game with Market Shares. 📌 New episodes drop every Friday at 10 AM PT! 📣 Got thoughts or questions? Drop them in the comments—we’d love to hear from you. #MortgageRates #HousingMarket #InterestRates #OilPrices #Inflation #RealEstateMarket #MortgageBackedSecurities #MBS #BondMarket #MortgageIndustry #LoanOfficerLife #MarketSharesPodcast #HousingEconomy #EconomicOutlook #GlobalMarkets Follow me on social media! Facebook: / marketsharespodcast Instagram: / marketsharespodcast Twitter: / marketshares1 TikTok: / marketsharespodcast LinkedIn: / tonyblodgett Want to join our team? Email careersnw@nafinc.com or check out our Instagram or Facebook @nafcareersnw Tony Blodgett CMB NMLS# 72161 Company NMLS ID# 6606 Equal Housing Lender. Washington Consumer Loan Company License #CL-6606 ____________________________ ____________________________ CHAPTERS #1. 0:00 How Middle East Conflict Could Impact Mortgage Rates & the Housing Market #2. 3:38 Why the Strait of Hormuz Could Push Mortgage Rates Higher | Oil, Inflation & Housing Explained #3. 6:14 Will War Drive Mortgage Rates Higher? What to Watch in the Next 72 Hours #4. 9:47 Will Oil Prices Derail Falling Mortgage Rates in 2026? | Housing Market Warning #5. 13:47 Mortgage Rates Just Shifted | What MBS Coupons Are Telling Us Right Now _____________________________ _____________________________