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Updated: 530pm ET Tuesday September 24, 2024 | From StormCenter Communications Weather Operations this is an update on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine for the Sensitive Information Sharing Environment. KEY MESSAGES: 1. Helene is forecast to intensify and be near hurricane strength when it passes near the northeastern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula on Wednesday, where a Hurricane Warning is in effect. 2. Helene is expected to rapidly intensify and grow in size over the eastern Gulf of Mexico. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge along the entire west coast of the Florida Peninsula and Florida Big Bend. The highest inundation levels are expected along the coast of the Florida Big Bend. Residents in those areas should follow advice given by local officials and evacuate if told to do so. 3. Damaging hurricane-force winds are expected along portions of coast of the Florida Big Bend, where a Hurricane Warning is now in effect. Preparations to protect life and property should be complete by early Thursday since tropical storm conditions are expected to begin within this area on Thursday. 4. Helene will bring heavy rain to portions of the western Caribbean with potentially significant flooding and mudslides across western Cuba. Considerable flash and urban flooding is expected across portions of Florida, the Southeast, southern Appalachians, and the Tennessee Valley Wednesday through Friday. This includes the risk of landslides across the southern Appalachians. Widespread minor to moderate river flooding is likely, and isolated major river flooding is possible. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 24/2100Z 19.7N 84.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 25/0600Z 20.4N 86.0W 55 KT 65 MPH 24H 25/1800Z 21.7N 86.6W 65 KT 75 MPH 36H 26/0600Z 23.7N 86.1W 80 KT 90 MPH 48H 26/1800Z 27.0N 84.9W 100 KT 115 MPH 60H 27/0600Z 31.5N 84.0W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND 72H 27/1800Z 35.5N 84.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 96H 28/1800Z 38.2N 89.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 120H 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED