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Uncertainty and Probabilistic Thinking in Financial Decisions

This video explains how financial decisions are shaped by uncertainty and probabilistic thinking within complex systems. Rather than assuming complete information or precise prediction, the episode examines how decisions are formed when outcomes are uncertain and knowledge is incomplete. Probability is presented as a way systems organize expectations, compare alternatives, and relate present choices to future outcomes. The video outlines how probabilistic frameworks influence which risks are recognized, how uncertainty is absorbed by institutions, and why decisions remain bounded even when quantitative tools are used. The focus remains on system-level mechanisms and decision structures, not advice, prediction, or individual action.