WG/GLIMPRINT Seminars: Atkeson, Economist's Perspective on Epidemics, February 26, 2025 скачать в хорошем качестве

WG/GLIMPRINT Seminars: Atkeson, Economist's Perspective on Epidemics, February 26, 2025

An Economist's Perspective on Behavior and the Dynamics of Epidemics Andrew Atkeson, PhD University of California, Los Angeles I use a model of private and public behavior to mitigate disease transmission during the COVID pandemic over the past year in the United States to address two questions: What dynamics of infections and deaths should we expect to see from a pandemic? and What are our options for mitigating the impact of a pandemic on public health? Economists posit that endogenous changes in behavior will drive the effective reproduction number of a disease towards one. For COVID, turns what would be a short and extremely sharp epidemic into a long, drawn out one. This assumption alters model implications for the purpose of public health interventions. For COVID, I calculate that, absent early eradication of the disease, non-pharmaceutical interventions alone suffer from rapidly diminishing returns in improving long-run health outcomes. In contrast, when these interventions are combined with a technological intervention such as vaccines, they can have a significant impact on public health outcomes. Many economists argued that, in both cases, more carefully targeted interventions could have attained similar health outcomes at significantly lower economic costs. For more information see: Atkeson, A. (2021). Behavior and the Dynamics of Epidemics (No. w28760). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://www.nber.org/system/files/wor... Atkeson, A., & Kissler, S. (2024). The impact of vaccines and behavior on US cumulative deaths from COVID-19. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2024, 67-112. https://www.nber.org/system/files/wor... Atkeson, Andrew, et al. "Economic benefits of COVID-19 screening tests." Review of Economic Design 28.4 (2024): 689-722. https://www.nber.org/system/files/wor... Contents 00:00 - Introduction 05:04 - IMOBio Seminar Series - Lessons Learned from Modeling COVID-19, Series Introduction, presented by Jacob Barhak 07:40 - An Economist's Perspective on Behavior and the Dynamics of Epidemics, presented by Andrew Atkeson 35:35 - Discussion between Andrew Atkeson and Jacob Barhak 41:08 - General Discussion and Questions For a copy of the slides for this video visit: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1GDV9... Moderated by: Jacob Barhak and James A.Glazier If you found this video useful, please check out our other videos on computational modeling, infection and immunology:    • IMAG/MSM WG and GLIMPRINT Seminars on Mult...   Please consider joining our IMAG/MSM WG on Multiscale Modeling and Viral Pandemics: https://www.imagwiki.nibib.nih.gov/co... Please also consider joining the Global Alliance for Immune Prediction and Intervention: http://glimprint.org/