Forecast GDP growth in Stata скачать в хорошем качестве

Forecast GDP growth in Stata

Learn how to forecast in Stata with two examples of GDP growth. First, I forecast U.S. real GDP growth into 2025 to determine how quickly the U.S. economy may recover from the pandemic. Then, I forecast world real GDP growth into 2025 and after the global financial crisis. Finally, I compare my forecast with IMF forecasts after the global crisis. Program code and data: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1sWxh... The basic steps in the program code follow Stata's overview of forecasting: https://www.stata.com/features/overvi.... Mike Jonas Econometrics:    • Time Series Econometrics: The CORRGRAM com...   Aric LaBarr:    • What are Autoregressive (AR) Models   IMF World Real GDP Growth Forecast, 2010-2020: https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/... IMF World Real GDP Growth Data: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/W... My website: https://sites.google.com/view/lenz ---Contents of this video--- 00:00 - Intro 00:29 - Program code and data 00:51 - Plot of U.S. GDP in current prices 01:11 - Stationarity in plots 03:01 - Skewness in charts 04:01 - Skewness tests and methods 05:30 - Stationarity tests and # of lags 07:28 - Forecast model of U.S. growth 08:39 - Forecast plot 09:07 - World GDP growth and plot 10:11 - Forecast after 2020 10:29 - Forecast after 2010 and IMF 10:54 - Comparison with IMF forecasts