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The war in Ukraine has become more than a fight for territory — it’s a test of resilience, strategy, and global balance. What began as a regional conflict is now reshaping NATO’s posture, accelerating defence spending across Europe, Canada, and the UK, and exposing the deep connections between security, resources, and climate vulnerability. In 2025, the strategic landscape has shifted dramatically: Defence spending surge – NATO allies are moving rapidly toward higher GDP commitments, signalling a recognition that deterrence requires credibility. Canada and the UK have both announced major increases, with Britain also preparing to reintroduce tactical nuclear capabilities alongside U.S. backstopping in southern England. Geopolitical alignment – While Washington drives the pace, the Europeans are stepping up at the White House table. Canada’s absence at the latest talks raises questions about whether it risks being sidelined unless it maintains pace with peers like Britain. Climate and resource dimensions – Ukraine is not just a war zone but also a breadbasket and energy corridor. This conflict underscores how climate stress, food insecurity, and control of critical supply lines can trigger instability far beyond Europe. Ordinary impact – Behind the strategic language are real effects on everyday people: higher costs of living, shifting trade patterns, and new expectations of resilience in cities from Toronto to London. Taken together, these developments suggest we are entering a decade defined by systemic stress-tests: military, economic, and environmental. The choices governments make now will determine whether instability deepens or whether a new balance of power emerges that can sustain peace.