How NOT to Predict an Election скачать в хорошем качестве

How NOT to Predict an Election

Inspired by the 2016 US Presidential Election, we study several important considerations in probabilistic modeling: the necessity of independence assumptions due to the curse of dimensionality, the dramatic effect that such assumptions can have on the final prediction, and the application of the Monte Carlo method to compute probabilities of interest via simulation. Probability and statistics book: https://a.co/d/7k259eb Website with free preprint, videos, slides and solutions to exercises: https://www.ps4ds.net Slides for this video: https://github.com/cfgranda/ps4ds/blo... Code: https://github.com/cfgranda/ps4ds/blo...