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RESOURCES & LINKS Management Accounting: https://www.gotitpass.com/acca-f2-man... Got It Pass: https://www.gotitpass.com Find me on Facebook: / gotitpass Chapter 12 covers forecasting costs and revenues, focusing on correlation coefficients and the coefficient of determination. It begins by explaining correlation, which measures how closely two variables are related. A change in one variable often results in a change in the other. The chapter includes diagrams illustrating concepts like the line of best fit. It discusses examples of perfect positive correlation and partial negative correlation. The correlation coefficient, denoted as R, quantifies the degree of correlation between two variables. There is a formula provided, which does not need to be memorized as tables are available during exams. Understanding that correlation does not imply causation is crucial, as an observed correlation might not mean that one variable causes changes in the other. For example, using sun protection cream could correlate with lifeguard assistance requirements, but the two are not causative. Next, the chapter discusses the coefficient of determination, which represents the variation of the correlation coefficient calculated by squaring R. After this, the focus shifts to the high-low method, which helps categorize semi-variable costs into fixed and variable components. The formula combines fixed costs with variable costs based on the number of units produced. This method allows for decisions based on the separation of costs but may not yield precise figures when only a few activity levels are available. Linear regression analysis is introduced, which analyzes past cost data to determine the values of variables in the line of best fit formula. Similar to earlier discussions, the formulas are available in the exam. Students are encouraged to practice using these formulas to improve accuracy in forecasting costs and revenues. Challenges in forecasting are outlined, including the difficulty of predicting future trends based on past data. External factors, such as political or economic changes, may influence outcomes and complicate predictions. The chapter emphasizes that historical trends may not always repeat and that forecasting becomes more challenging over longer time frames. Advantages of using linear regression analysis include its straightforward nature and the ability to utilize available data for forecasting. However, disadvantages also exist, such as the assumption of a linear relationship and the potential for other variables to impact results. Inaccurate predictions can occur if relationships are not strong or if reliance is placed on insufficient data. In summary, the chapter presents technical concepts that can be challenging but emphasizes that understanding the formulas and the types of questions asked can help students succeed. With only 50% of correct answers required to pass the exam, students should feel encouraged that they can manage the material even if they are not particularly strong in mathematics. Good luck with your studies! #acca #managementaccounting #accacourse #accatraining #accaexam #correlationcoefficient #coefficientofdetermination #costsforecasting #revenuesforecasting