10 Pitfalls in Future Thinking - and How to Avoid Them | Lukasz Nazarko | TEDxMedUniGraz скачать в хорошем качестве

10 Pitfalls in Future Thinking - and How to Avoid Them | Lukasz Nazarko | TEDxMedUniGraz

The talk discusses why our minds often misread tomorrow. We tend to imagine a single “future” and forget that there are many possible futures. We misunderstand probabilities, mistake randomness for patterns, and fall victim to false certainty or needless panic. In moments of crisis, our coping mechanisms make us postpone critical decisions that determine our future. Hype can blind us to the difference between true hope and wishful thinking. Drawing on insights from critical futurism, behavioral economics, statistics, psychology, and cognitive sciences, this talk exposes how biases obscure our vision of what may lie ahead. It offers practical strategies to spot mental traps, expand our thinking, and approach the future with clearer vision, greater confidence, and a sense of agency. Key takeaway: We can’t predict the future—but by spotting mental traps, we can think and ACT about it more wisely, creatively, and courageously. Lukasz is a researcher in foresight and interdisciplinary studies at Bialystok University of Technology, Poland. He has gained scientific experience as a research fellow at Tokyo University, the University of Manchester, and VilniusTech. He serves as Chair of the IEEE Technology and Engineering Management Society Poland Chapter and as a board member of the Polish Association for Technology Assessment. He is an author on foresight, technology assessment, innovation policy, and responsible research and innovation. He has been promoting the concept of Future-Oriented Technology Assessment. He is an independent expert for EIT Culture & Creativity and COST–European Cooperation in Science and Technology. He designs and facilitates foresight processes for businesses and non-profit organisations. Lukasz is passionate about public understanding of science. He regularly gives lectures and conducts workshops and simulation games in children’s universities and third-age universities in his region. This talk was given at a TEDx event using the TED conference format but independently organized by a local community. Learn more at https://www.ted.com/tedx