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If the 2026 midterms were held today, Donald Trump’s approval rating would be the single biggest factor shaping the Senate battlefield. In this video, I break down how Trump’s standing with voters impacts key Senate races, why Republicans in swing and even red-leaning states are at serious risk, and how Democrats could capitalize if current trends hold. Approval ratings don’t just matter nationally, they decide candidate recruitment, turnout, and whether marginal GOP seats become outright Democratic targets. ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ 🔔 Subscribe for daily election analyses: http://bit.ly/LetsTalkElections 👍 Become a Channel Member: https://bit.ly/2MrXW2q 💬 Join the Discussion on Discord: https://bit.ly/ltediscordserver 👕 Official LTE Merch: http://bit.ly/LTEMerch ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Watch Next – Related Videos & Playlists: 🎥 2026 Senate Election Analysis: • 2026 Senate Elections 🎥 2026 House Election Analysis: • 2026 House Elections 🎥 2028 Presidential Election Analysis: • JD Vance vs. Kamala Harris is Likelier Tha... Common Q&A: What do “Tilt,” “Lean,” “Likely,” and “Safe” mean in your forecasts? Tilt → Less than 1% margin Lean → 1-5% margin Likely → 5-15% margin. Safe → 15%+ margin What website do you use for election maps? I use YAPms.com and Map.JacksonJude.com for creating election night maps and projections. How often do you upload? I post daily (and sometimes twice a day) to keep you updated on the latest in politics and elections! Do you ever livestream? Yes, I go live for major events (e.g., debates, election nights, etc.) so we can watch and react together in real time. Why do you always say "welcome back to today’s video"? Haha, it’s a catchphrase I started back in 2017 — it’s just part of the channel’s personality now! Follow me on social media: 📸 X/IG/TikTok: @LTElections 📸 Personal IG: @EthanCKelly 📧 Business inquiries: [email protected] (spam will be ignored and blocked) Thank you to our President-tier channel members 🙏: Amory Erenhouse, jshooa, Kevin Holland, JChriscoe222, Stephen Varnum If you enjoyed this video, please Like, Comment, and Subscribe for more election updates. See you next time! 🎉 #LetsTalkElections #2026Elections #USSenate #TrumpApproval #Midterms #Democrats #Republicans #ElectionAnalysis #PoliticalPolling