Borderline Disorder: (De facto) Historical Ethnic Borders and Contemporary Conflict in Africa | QH скачать в хорошем качестве

Borderline Disorder: (De facto) Historical Ethnic Borders and Contemporary Conflict in Africa | QH

Ömer Özak and his coauthor explore the effect of historical ethnic borders on contemporary non-civil conflict in Africa. Exploiting variations across artificial regions (i.e., grids of 50x50km) within an ethnicity's historical homeland, they document that both the intensive and extensive margins of contemporary conflict are concentrated close to historical ethnic borders. Following a theory-based instrumental variable approach, which generates a plausibly exogenous ethno-spatial partition of Africa, they find that grid cells with historical ethnic borders have 27 percentage points higher probability of conflict and 7.9 percentage points higher probability of being the initial location of a conflict. In this Quantitative History Webinar, Ömer shares their findings and explains in great detail the key underlying mechanisms: competition for agricultural land, population pressure, cultural similarity and weak property rights. Discussant: Facil Tesfaye (HKU African Studies) Quantitative History Webinar Series Conveners: Professor Zhiwu Chen & Dr. Chicheng Ma © 2022 International Society for Quantitative History Live on Zoom on October 15, 2020 Released on October 15, 2020 by Asia Global Institute's channel (85 views as of September 25, 2022) #QuantitativeHistory #QuantHist #QH #africa #africanhistory #conflict #border #contemporary